Top Democrats are circulating a poll showing that one of the House’s most progressive members — Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez — has become a definitional face for the party with a crucial group of swing voters.
Why it matters: These Democrats are sounding the alarm that swing voters know and dislike socialism, warning it could cost them the House and the presidency. The poll is making the rounds of some of the most influential Democrats in America.
– “If all voters hear about is AOC, it could put the [House] majority at risk,” said a top Democrat who is involved in 2020 congressional races. “he’s getting all the news and defining everyone else’s races.”
The poll — taken in May, before Speaker Pelosi’s latest run-in with AOC and the three other liberal House freshmen known as “The Squad” — included 1,003 likely general-election voters who are white and have two years or less of college education.
– These are the “white, non-college voters” who embraced Donald Trump in 2016 but are needed by Democrats in swing House districts.
– The group that took the poll shared the results with Axios on the condition that it not be named, because the group has to work with all parts of the party.
The findings:
– Ocasio-Cortez was recognized by 74% of voters in the poll; 22% had a favorable view.
– Rep. Ilhan Omar of Minnesota — another member of The Squad — was recognized by 53% of the voters; 9% (not a typo) had a favorable view.
Socialism was viewed favorably by 18% of the voters and unfavorably by 69%.
– Capitalism was 56% favorable; 32% unfavorable.
– “Socialism is toxic to these voters,” said the top Democrat.
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- Discussion
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Top Democrats are circulating a poll showing that one of the House's most progressive members — Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez — has become a definitional face for the party with a crucial group of swing voters.https://t.co/pTHvIy1A8O
— Axios (@axios) July 14, 2019
It's almost — ALMOST — as if the election of 2020 isn't about the Woke Caucus and is in fact an Electoral College contest being held in just a few moderate swing states.
ALMOST.https://t.co/wyC3v2RGzv
— Rick Wilson (@TheRickWilson) July 15, 2019
If only someone had warned that this could happen https://t.co/s3i0xfhXaP
— Tom Nichols (@RadioFreeTom) July 15, 2019
I haven’t seen the full demographic/location breakdown of that internal Dem poll, but it apparently only polled white non-college voters – who have been going GOP by 15+ points for the past decade.
Not sure why they’re called “swing voters” by whoever leaked the poll to @Axios. pic.twitter.com/Yp7qO1G1Bd
— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) July 15, 2019
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