To make matters worse, Trump needs to pull about 85 delegates out of New York to have a prayer of avoiding a contested convention. That requires him to break 50 percent in all but six of New York’s congressional districts and win the remainder. The Trump campaign knows that and they know that they aren’t in great shape to make that happen. In the past two days, Trump has cancelled an appearance at the Colorado State GOP convention and he has cancelled campaign stops in California, all to focus on New York.
Now George Pataki is agreeing that while Trump will probably win the overall vote in New York, Ted Cruz is coming on strong and could make Trump’s victory turn into Dead Sea fruit.
That may be, but George Pataki, the three-term New York governor and the last Republican to hold that office, is starting to sound like a Cruz Republican.
“I think Ted Cruz has a real shot of surprising and doing really well,” he says. Pataki, who dropped out of the presidential race earlier this year and later endorsed Marco Rubio, adds that he’s not ready to endorse a new candidate yet but that Cruz, not Kasich, has the “best chance” of defeating Trump for the nomination. He agrees with Astorino that Cruz’s apparent strategy of targeting minority-heavy districts in New York City could help minimize the success Trump will otherwise enjoy in his home state.
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