A new California poll was just released which shows an absolute dead heat between Trump and Cruz in California. It seems increasingly likely that Trump needs to win California to reach 1,237; Cruz definitely needs it to even have a chance at 1,237. And right now, with Kasich still in the race, it’s a toss up.
Per Politico, among likely voters, Trump leads Cruz 36-35, a statistically insignificant lead. Among registered voters, Trump leads 37-30. Kasich gets 12 per cent of registered voters.
However, this is one of several recent polls that essentially show that California is a tie between Trump and Cruz at this point. If Kasich runs out of money or quits before California, Cruz has to be considered the favorite.
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