Steve Deace: What you need to know about where the race stands as of today

Source: Steve Deace's Facebook | August 4, 2016 | Steve Deace

So here is where we’re at this morning.

The swing state polls in PA and MI are really bad. And these are rust belt states Trump said he would put in play. He’s also down 15 in NH, which given the tight window of the Electoral College for Republicans is a state the GOP could use. George W. Bush would’ve never been president had he lost NH to Gore in 2000.

Keep in mind these are all states Trump won decisively when the primary was still competitive, so these are very bad signs and point to what was feared all along. That Trump had built a fiercely loyal bloc of voters in a vast field, with little opportunity for upward mobility given his message/persona. We are seeing this now.

There’s also a Politico article out today questioning Melania’s immigration story. Essentially saying Trump married an illegal alien. Of course, Politico has a spotty history with these exposes. Sometimes they’re right. Sometimes they’re the hatchet job they did on the Ben Carson recruited by West Point story last year.

And now that he’s in open warfare with Speaker Paul Ryan, the establishment who railroaded the convention for Trump two weeks ago is now turning on him. Because that’s what the Republican Party truly is. It is not a vehicle for our principles, but a club. Which is why so many of you were frustrated and supported Trump in the first place, you could see that. So it wasn’t Trump’s Leftism or moral depravity that turned them off, but that he’d dare not kiss the ring of their Golden Child.

It’s not that Democrats are just smarter and better at this than Republicans, it’s why. Any football coach is going to look dumb coaching a scheme he doesn’t know with players he didn’t recruit/draft. The Republican Party is led/represented by and large by people who don’t share the values of the average Republican base voter.

See, the Democrats view loyalty to principle as loyalty to party. The Republicans view loyalty to party as loyalty to principle.

Bottom line: Less than 10% chance Trump walks away. That would really damage his brand going forward far more than losing would. Even losing badly. But you’re watching the Party set it up to publicly divorce themselves from him to save themselves. Similar to what congressional Republicans did with Bob Dole down the stretch in 1996, albeit this will be far nastier.

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  • Consistent #8956

    “See, the Democrats view loyalty to principle as loyalty to party. The Republicans view loyalty to party as loyalty to principle.”

    Woodcutter #8958

    But you’re watching the Party set it up to publicly divorce themselves from him to save themselves. Similar to what congressional Republicans did with Bob Dole down the stretch in 1996, albeit this will be far nastier.

    Nastier, indeed!

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