Super Tuesday’s Results Prove That Trump Can Be Beaten

Source: The Federalist | March 2, 2016 | A Millennial

An analysis of the Super Tuesday results and state delegate tallies shows that Trump is far more vulnerable than he appears. Here’s how he can be beaten.

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….. In the ten states where elections will be held between now and March 15, eight of them are closed and allow only Republicans to participate. Of the 21 contests between now and the end of March, only 8 allow non-Republicans to participate.

So what is the path forward for the non-Trump candidates? Do they have a chance? They do have a path, but it is a narrow one.

First, they must continue to rack up delegates in the ten proportional contests that will be held on March 5 (KS, KY, LA, ME), March 6 (Puerto Rico), March 8 (HI, ID, MI, MS), and March 12 (DC). In those ten races, 347 delegates will be at stake. Cruz and Rubio need to focus on denying Trump delegate majorities in those states and perhaps picking off an outright win here and there. Because all of these states allocate their delegates proportionally (as opposed to winner-take-all, where the winner gets everything regardless of whether he or she wins a majority of the actual votes), demands that this or that major candidate drop out will likely fall on deaf ears.

The next big milestone in the Republican primary is March 15. That’s when the first winner-take-all states appear on the calendar. Five states (FL, IL, MO, NC, OH) and 358 delegates will be in play on March 15 (although March 15 will garner most of the media attention, the March 5-12 contests provide almost the same amount of delegates). With the exception of North Carolina, each of those March 15 states gives all of its delegates to the winner, even if the winner is well under 50 percent and wins by a mere vote. So what’s the anti-Trump play here?

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