No Brokered, and a guaranteed Ted Cruz win in a Contested Convention
There is a lot of talk about the real delegate counts after a few different sources published various counts, there is also a lot of people wondering about how many delegates are pledged in what I call “The Heart” for various candidates. Finally some of the Trump team are already trying to talk about how Ted Cruz is supposedly locked out numerically and are trying to use this to end the election (lol). I debunk myths, show figures, and break it down for you here.
Real Numbers: Cruz 696 Delegates to Trumps 765 Delegates.
I also declare at this point a 99 percent chance of a Ted Cruz victory in a Contested Convention. This includes a 75 percent chance of winning on the second ticket. I also predict an 85 percent chance of a Contested Convention happening, which means at this point I am predicting in very strong Terms that Ted Cruz is the nominee.
Repeating, Ted Cruz has essentially won the nomination at this point, it would be great if the remaining States made it happen for first ticket in a sign of solidarity.
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