The battle for the Senate hinges on Georgia

Source: Politico | November 6, 2020 | Melanie Zanona

WHY GEORGIA, WHY? It’s the 2020 plot twist we all knew was possible. But now it’s looking increasingly likely.

If Sen. David Perdue (R-Ga.) is forced into a runoff against Democrat Jon Ossoff, that means control of the Senate will likely all come down to a pair of races in Georgia that won’t be decided anytime soon. The contest still hasn’t been called, but as of right now, Perdue’s share of the vote is slightly below the 50 percent threshold necessary to win the race outright.

By the numbers: Currently, the Senate makeup for next year is 48-48. If Sens. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) and Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska) both hang on to their seats, which is looking likely, that puts the majority at 50-48, with Republicans having the upper hand.

So that means Republicans need to win one of the races in Georgia on Jan. 5 in order to retain the majority, while Dems would need to flip both seats in order to make it a 50-50 Senate. Under that scenario, control of the Senate would go to the party in power at the White House.

The big picture: The runoff races will likely become some of the most expensive, hotly contested, and consequential races in history, with both parties already preparing to funnel their resources and energy into battle. And it also means we won’t know the Senate majority for months.

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