There are signs Trump's base is leaving him on the coronavirus

Source: CNN | July 16, 2020 | Harry Enten

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Whites without a college degree and rural voters went for Trump by around a 30-point margin (depending on the survey) as a group in 2016.

Among whites without a college degree, Trump’s approval rating on coronavirus is an average of the ABC News/Ipsos and Quinnipiac polls is just 50%. That matches his disapproval rating. In other words, Trump’s doing no better than even among what is supposed to be a bedrock group.

The numbers are no better for him among rural voters. In an average of the ABC News/Ipsos and Quinnipiac polls, his approval rating is at 48% among rural voters. His disapproval stands at 50%. Again, you want to be running up the score with base groups that voted for you by around 30 points in 2016. Trump’s just running even here.

Now, there was no reason it had to be this way for Trump. Back in early April, Trump was getting strong ratings from all of these groups in his base.

He was averaging a 90% approval rating in the ABC News/Ipsos and Quinnipiac University polls when it came to his coronavirus performance.

He was well into the 60s with both whites without a college degree and rural voters in both polls.

What we’ve seen is that his base is clearly running away with him because they judge his performance over the last few months to be negative.

The big question with an election in the fall is whether these voters are merely saying they disapprove of Trump on the coronavirus but are still going to vote for him.

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  • Consistent July 17, 2020 at 4:32 pm #41223

    Consistent July 17, 2020 at 4:34 pm #41224

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