While most eyes have been focused on the winner-take-all primaries in Florida and Ohio tomorrow and the rather thin evidence of a concerted effort to stop Donald Trump, a lot of interesting things are happening in the other states voting on Tuesday.
Both Missouri and North Carolina are in play. A good guess is that Ted Cruz wins Missouri and either wins North Carolina or, more likely, comes in a very close second. The real fun is happening in Illinois.
If there is one thing we know about the Trump campaign is that they worship polls and they obviously don’t like what they are seeing. So now we’re seeing the Trump Illinois campaign beginning to look like your typical Donald Trump business venture:
…. The election is tomorrow. Today they fire the campaign director and replace one incompetent with two. And what brings this on? The campaign suddenly discovered that in a major state they had virtually no volunteers and no visible GOTV apparatus. The real person who should have been fired is the campaign manager who, when not beating up girls, has been asleep at the switch.
None of these moves are going to help Trump on Tuesday. He may still win but the lesson here is that Trump’s organization has become lazy and flaccid from its easy diet of earned media. Now that the field is winnowing, and the primaries are no longer confined to one small state, Trump is going to find that an organization is essential and he’s squandered the time he’s had to build one.
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